Thursday 7 March 2019

Hard Brexit inescapable

Hard Brexit inescapable

Brexiting. A series on being English. # 10


Having written brazenly about Brexit, it is imperative that I put my neck out and predict what will happen. So far, all my predictions on Brexit based on cultural idiosyncrasies of the English (not the British) have proven to be quite accurate.

My prediction is that there will be a delay for three months that will be extended for perhaps another six months. After that, there will most probably be a hard Brexit, i.e. a no-deal Brexit.

In the meantime, there will be a general election that will solve nothing.
The Brexiteers will remain against another referendum, having won with a tiny minority that could easily turn the other way around now that people have started to understand better what Brexit really means. If the Brexiteers prevail by not having another referendum, a hard Brexit, i.e. without a deal with the EU, is unavoidable, even after 9 months of delay.
Below follow 8 reasons why Brexit will play out like this.